Gregory F. Treverton

David C. Gompert

Brooke Stearns Lawson

Marla C. Haims

Insecurity in the 21st century appears to come less from the collisions of powerful states than from the debris of imploding ones. This paper aims to improve the understanding and treatment of failed states by focusing on critical challenges at the intersections between security, economics, and politics and on the guiding goal of lifting local populations from the status of victims of failure to agents of recovery.

Breaking the Failed-State Cycle

Hans Binnendijk

Bonny Lin

The history of wars caused by misjudgments, from Napoleon’s invasion of Russia to America’s invasion of Iraq, reveals that leaders relied on cognitive models that were seriously at odds with objective reality. Blinders, Blunders, and Wars analyzes eight historical examples of strategic blunders regarding war and peace and four examples of decisions that turned out well, and then applies those lessons to the current Sino-American case.

What America and China Can Learn

Blinders, Blunders, and Wars

National Defense University (U S )

Center for the Study of Chinese Military Affairs (U S)

The Paradox of Power

Robert Carl Davis

To examine how best to design the Liberian National Police oversight construct, the authors evaluate the likely effectiveness of different oversight options against three criteria--manageability, permanent professionalism, and public confidence--and study concepts used in other African countries. They recommend creation of a government-chaired, mixed-membership, multi-tiered system that incorporates both government and independent members.

Oversight of the Liberian National Police

Astrid Stuth Cevallos

Cristina L. Garafola

A Sino-U.S. war could take various, and unintended, paths. Because intense, reciprocal conventional counterforce attacks could inflict heavy losses and costs on both sides, leaders need options and channels to contain and terminate fighting.

Thinking Through the Unthinkable

War with China

David C. Gompert

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