Christopher E. Mason

Igor Tulchinsky

Algorithms, AI, and the Shifting Shadows of Risk

Age of Prediction

Design more successful trading systems with this practical guide to identifying alphas Finding Alphas seeks to teach you how to do one thing and do it well: design alphas. Written by experienced practitioners from WorldQuant, including its founder and CEO Igor Tulchinsky, this book provides detailed insight into the alchemic art of generating trading signals, and gives you access to the tools you need to practice and explore. Equally applicable across regions, this practical guide provides you with methods for uncovering the hidden signals in your data. A collection of essays provides diverse viewpoints to show the similarities, as well as unique approaches, to alpha design, covering a wide variety of topics, ranging from abstract theory to concrete technical aspects. You'll learn the dos and don'ts of information research, fundamental analysis, statistical arbitrage, alpha diversity, and more, and then delve into more advanced areas and more complex designs. The companion website, www.worldquantchallenge.com, features alpha examples with formulas and explanations. Further, this book also provides practical guidance for using WorldQuant's online simulation tool WebSim® to get hands-on practice in alpha design. Alpha is an algorithm which trades financial securities. This book shows you the ins and outs of alpha design, with key insight from experienced practitioners. Learn the seven habits of highly effective quants Understand the key technical aspects of alpha design Use WebSim® to experiment and create more successful alphas Finding Alphas is the detailed, informative guide you need to start designing robust, successful alphas.

A Quantitative Approach to Building Trading Strategies

Finding Alphas

The power of the ever-increasing tools and algorithms for prediction and their paradoxical effects on risk. The Age of Prediction is about two powerful, and symbiotic, trends: the rapid development and use of artificial intelligence and big data to enhance prediction, as well as the often paradoxical effects of these better predictions on our understanding of risk and the ways we live. Beginning with dramatic advances in quantitative investing and precision medicine, this book explores how predictive technology is quietly reshaping our world in fundamental ways, from crime fighting and warfare to monitoring individual health and elections. As prediction grows more robust, it also alters the nature of the accompanying risk, setting up unintended and unexpected consequences. The Age of Prediction details how predictive certainties can bring about complacency or even an increase in risks—genomic analysis might lead to unhealthier lifestyles or a GPS might encourage less attentive driving. With greater predictability also comes a degree of mystery, and the authors ask how narrower risks might affect markets, insurance, or risk tolerance generally. Can we ever reduce risk to zero? Should we even try? This book lays an intriguing groundwork for answering these fundamental questions and maps out the latest tools and technologies that power these projections into the future, sometimes using novel, cross-disciplinary tools to map out cancer growth, people’s medical risks, and stock dynamics.

The Age of Prediction

Discover the ins and outs of designing predictive trading models Drawing on the expertise of WorldQuant’s global network, this new edition of Finding Alphas: A Quantitative Approach to Building Trading Strategies contains significant changes and updates to the original material, with new and updated data and examples. Nine chapters have been added about alphas – models used to make predictions regarding the prices of financial instruments. The new chapters cover topics including alpha correlation, controlling biases, exchange-traded funds, event-driven investing, index alphas, intraday data in alpha research, intraday trading, machine learning, and the triple axis plan for identifying alphas. • Provides more references to the academic literature • Includes new, high-quality material • Organizes content in a practical and easy-to-follow manner • Adds new alpha examples with formulas and explanations If you’re looking for the latest information on building trading strategies from a quantitative approach, this book has you covered.

Discover the ins and outs of designing predictive trading models Drawing on the expertise of WorldQuant's global network, this new edition of Finding Alphas: A Quantitative Approach to Building Trading Strategies contains significant changes and updates to the original material, with new and updated data and examples. Nine chapters have been added about alphas - models used to make predictions regarding the prices of financial instruments. The new chapters cover topics including alpha correlation, controlling biases, exchange-traded funds, event-driven investing, index alphas, intraday data in alpha research, intraday trading, machine learning, and the triple axis plan for identifying alphas." Provides more references to the academic literature " Includes new, high-quality material " Organizes content in a practical and easy-to-follow manner " Adds new alpha examples with formulas and explanations If you're looking for the latest information on building trading strategies from a quantitative approach, this book has you covered

Finding Alphas, 2nd Edition

Learn from a master of quantitative finance the rules that made him a success. The UnRules presents the dynamic rules for success in the age of exponential information. Written by Igor Tulchinsky, the trader behind global quantitative investment management firm WorldQuant, this book is more than just another Big Data guide for financial wonks — it’s a prescriptive, inspirational book for everyone navigating the tidal waves of the information age. Data is everywhere, coming at us in a never-ceasing, ever-rising river that threatens to overwhelm us. Tulchinsky shows us, however, how natural patterns underlie that data — patterns that may dictate life or death, success or failure. The marriage of man and machines has allowed scientists to explore increasingly complex worlds, to predict outcomes and eventualities. This book demonstrates how to exercise real intelligence by discerning the patterns that surround us every day and how to leverage this information into success in the workplace and beyond. Igor Tulchinsky has spent his career discerning meaningful patterns in information. For decades, Tulchinsky has been at the forefront of developing predictive trading algorithms known as alphas — a quest that has led Tulchinsky to explore the nature of markets, the fundamentals of risk and reward, and the science behind complex nonlinear systems. Tulchinsky explains what we know of these systems, both natural and man-made, in accessible and personal terms, and he shares how alphas have driven his success as an investor and shaped his central “UnRule,” which is that no rule applies in every case. As markets evolve, even the most effective trading algorithms weaken over time. Decades of creating successful alphas — and learning how to effectively transform them into strategies — have taught Tulchinsky about the need to combine flexibility and focus, discipline and creativity when building complex models. At a time when data and computing power are exploding exponentially, The UnRules provides an expert introduction to our increasingly quantitative world.

Igor Tulchinsky

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