Parag Khanna

Connectivity, not geography, is our destiny. Mankind is reengineering the planet, investing up to ten trillion dollars per year in transportation, energy, and communications infrastructure linking the worlds burgeoning megacities together. Khanna explores the profound consequences this will have for geopolitics, economics, demographics, the environment, and social identity.

Mapping the Future of Global Civilization

Connectography

In the 19th century, the world was Europeanized. In the 20th century, it was Americanized. Now, in the 21st century, the world is being Asianized. The “Asian Century” is even bigger than you think. Far greater than just China, the new Asian system taking shape is a multi-civilizational order spanning Saudi Arabia to Japan, Russia to Australia, Turkey to Indonesia—linking five billion people through trade, finance, infrastructure, and diplomatic networks that together represent 40 percent of global GDP. China has taken a lead in building the new Silk Roads across Asia, but it will not lead it alone. Rather, Asia is rapidly returning to the centuries-old patterns of commerce, conflict, and cultural exchange that thrived long before European colonialism and American dominance. Asians will determine their own future—and as they collectively assert their interests around the world, they will determine ours as well. There is no more important region of the world for us to better understand than Asia – and thus we cannot afford to keep getting Asia so wrong. Asia’s complexity has led to common misdiagnoses: Western thinking on Asia conflates the entire region with China, predicts imminent World War III around every corner, and regularly forecasts debt-driven collapse for the region’s major economies. But in reality, the region is experiencing a confident new wave of growth led by younger societies from India to the Philippines, nationalist leaders have put aside territorial disputes in favor of integration, and today’s infrastructure investments are the platform for the next generation of digital innovation. If the nineteenth century featured the Europeanization of the world, and the twentieth century its Americanization, then the twenty-first century is the time of Asianization. From investment portfolios and trade wars to Hollywood movies and university admissions, no aspect of life is immune from Asianization. With America’s tech sector dependent on Asian talent and politicians praising Asia’s glittering cities and efficient governments, Asia is permanently in our nation’s consciousness. We know this will be the Asian century. Now we finally have an accurate picture of what it will look like.

The Future Is Asian

Outlines a provocative approach to diplomacy that addresses the needs of today's globalized world, covering issues ranging from economic imbalance and environmental stress with recommendations for specific actions to unify the resources of governments, corporations and civic groups.

Charting a Course to the Next Renaissance

How to Run the World

"In the 60,000 years since people began colonizing the continents, a continuous feature of human civilization has been mobility. History is replete with seismic global events-pandemics and plagues, wars and genocides. Each time, after a great catastrophe, our innate impulse toward physical security compels us to move. The map of humanity isn't settled-not now, not ever. The filled-with-crises 21st century promises to contain the most dangerous and extensive experiment humanity has ever run on itself: As climates change, pandemics arrive, and economies rise and fall, which places will people leave and where will they resettle? Which countries will accept or reject them? How will the billions alive today, and the billions coming, paint the next map of human geography? Until now, the study of human geography and migration has been like a weather forecast. Move delivers an authoritative look at the "climate" of migration, the deep trends that will shape the grand economic and security scenarios of the future. For readers, it will be a chance to identify their location on humanity's next map"--

Where People Are Going for a Better Future

Move

American democracy just isn't good enough anymore. A costly election has done more to divide American society than unite it, while trust in government--and democracy itself--is plummeting. But there are better systems out there, and America would be wise to learn from them. In this provocative manifesto, globalization scholar Parag Khanna tours cutting-edge nations from Switzerland to Singapore to reveal the inner workings that allow them that lead the way in managing the volatility of a fast-changing world while delivering superior welfare and prosperity for their citizens. The ideal form of government for the complex 21st century is what Khanna calls a "direct technocracy," one led by experts but perpetually consulting the people through a combination of democracy and data. From a seven-member presidency and a restructured cabinet to replacing the Senate with an Assembly of Governors, Technocracy in America is full of sensible proposals that have been proven to work in the world's most successful societies. Americans have a choice for whom they elect president, but they should not wait any longer to redesign their political system following Khanna's pragmatic vision.

Rise of the Info-State

Technocracy in America

Here is a stunning and provocative guide to the future of international relations—a system for managing global problems beyond the stalemates of business versus government, East versus West, rich versus poor, democracy versus authoritarianism, free markets versus state capitalism. Written by the most esteemed and innovative adventurer-scholar of his generation, Parag Khanna’s How to Run the World posits a chaotic modern era that resembles the Middle Ages, with Asian empires, Western militaries, Middle Eastern sheikhdoms, magnetic city-states, wealthy multinational corporations, elite clans, religious zealots, tribal hordes, and potent media seething in an ever more unpredictable and dangerous storm. But just as that initial “dark age” ended with the Renaissance, Khanna believes that our time can become a great and enlightened age as well—only, though, if we harness our technology and connectedness to forge new networks among governments, businesses, and civic interest groups to tackle the crises of today and avert those of tomorrow. With his trademark energy, intellect, and wit, Khanna reveals how a new “mega-diplomacy” consisting of coalitions among motivated technocrats, influential executives, super-philanthropists, cause-mopolitan activists, and everyday churchgoers can assemble the talent, pool the money, and deploy the resources to make the global economy fairer, rebuild failed states, combat terrorism, promote good governance, deliver food, water, health care, and education to those in need, and prevent environmental collapse. With examples taken from the smartest capital cities, most progressive boardrooms, and frontline NGOs, Khanna shows how mega-diplomacy is more than an ad hoc approach to running a world where no one is in charge—it is the playbook for creating a stable and self-correcting world for future generations. How to Run the World is the cutting-edge manifesto for diplomacy in a borderless world.

Hybrid Reality

Empires and Influence in the New Global Order

The Second World

The Future is Asian

Uma análise provocante e surpreendente sobre o futuro que hoje se desenha para as relações internacionais: um sistema de administração dos problemas globais que rompe os impasses da perene oposição entre empresas e governos, Oriente e Ocidente, ricos e pobres, democracias e regimes autoritários, livre mercado e capitalismo de estado. Assinado por Parag Khanna, o mais respeitado e inovador "acadêmico-aventureiro" de sua geração, Como governar o mundo apresenta uma atualidade caótica que se assemelha à Idade Média: impérios asiáticos, forças armadas ocidentais, países do Oriente Médio governados por xeques, cidades-estados atraentes, ricas empresas multinacionais, clãs de elite, fanáticos religiosos, hordas tribais e uma mídia poderosa que fermenta uma tempestade sempre imprevisível e arriscada. Como governar o mundo é um manifesto atualíssimo em favor da diplomacia num mundo sem fronteiras.

Como governar o mundo

Unsere asiatische Zukunft

العالم الثاني السلطة والسطوة في النظام العالمي الجديد

Grand explanations of how to understand the complex twenty-first-century world have all fallen short–until now. In The Second World, the brilliant young scholar Parag Khanna takes readers on a thrilling global tour, one that shows how America’s dominant moment has been suddenly replaced by a geopolitical marketplace wherein the European Union and China compete with the United States to shape world order on their own terms. This contest is hottest and most decisive in the Second World: pivotal regions in Eastern Europe, Central Asia, Latin America, the Middle East, and East Asia. Khanna explores the evolution of geopolitics through the recent histories of such underreported, fascinating, and complicated countries as Azerbaijan, Uzbekistan, Colombia, Libya, Vietnam, and Malaysia–nations whose resources will ultimately determine the fate of the three superpowers, but whose futures are perennially uncertain as they struggle to rise into the first world or avoid falling into the third. Informed, witty, and armed with a traveler’s intuition for blending into diverse cultures, Khanna mixes copious research with deep reportage to remake the map of the world. He depicts second-world societies from the inside out, observing how globalization divides them into winners and losers along political, economic, and cultural lines–and shows how China, Europe, and America use their unique imperial gravities to pull the second-world countries into their orbits. Along the way, Khanna also explains how Arabism and Islamism compete for the Arab soul, reveals how Iran and Saudi Arabia play the superpowers against one another, unmasks Singapore’s inspirational role in East Asia, and psychoanalyzes the second-world leaders whose decisions are reshaping the balance of power. He captures the most elusive formula in international affairs: how to think like a country. In the twenty-first century, globalization is the main battlefield of geopolitics, and America itself runs the risk of descending into the second world if it does not renew itself and redefine its role in the world. Comparable in scope and boldness to Francis Fukuyama’s The End of History and the Last Man and Samuel P. Huntington’s The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order, Parag Khanna’s The Second World will be the definitive guide to world politics for years to come. “A savvy, streetwise primer on dozens of individual countries that adds up to a coherent theory of global politics.” –Robert D. Kaplan, author of Eastward to Tartary and Warrior Politics “A panoramic overview that boldly addresses the dilemmas of the world that our next president will confront.” –Dr. Zbigniew Brzezinski, former national security advisor "Parag Khanna's fascinating book takes us on an epic journey around the multipolar world, elegantly combining historical analysis, political theory, and eye-witness reports to shed light on the battle for primacy between the world's new empires." –Mark Leonard, Executive Director, European Council on Foreign Relations "Khanna, a widely recognized expert on global politics, offers an study of the 21st century's emerging "geopolitical marketplace" dominated by three "first world" superpowers, the U.S., Europe and China... The final pages of his book warn eloquently of the risks of imperial overstretch combined with declining economic dominance and deteriorating quality of life. By themselves those pages are worth the price of a book that from beginning to end inspires reflection." –Publishers Weekly

Where will you live in 2030? Where will your children settle in 2040? What will the map of humanity look like in 2050? In the 60,000 years since people began colonising the continents, a recurring feature of human civilisation has been mobility - the constant search for resources and stability. Seismic global events - wars and genocides, revolutions and pandemics - have only accelerated the process. The map of humanity isn't settled, not now, not ever. As climate change tips toward full-blown crisis, economies collapse, governments destabilise and technology disrupts, we're entering a new age of mass migrations - one that will scatter both the dispossessed and the well-off. Which areas will people abandon and where will they resettle? Which countries will accept or reject them? As today's world population, which includes four billion restless youth, votes with their feet, what map of human geography will emerge? Here global strategy advisor Parag Khanna provides an illuminating and authoritative vision of the next phase of human civilisation - one that is both mobile and sustainable. As the book explores, in the years ahead people will move to where the resources are and technologies will flow to the people who need them, returning us to our nomadic roots while building more secure habitats. Move is a fascinating look at the deep trends that are shaping the most likely scenarios for the future. Most importantly, it guides each of us as we determine our optimal location on humanity's ever-changing map.

How Mass Migration Will Reshape the World – and What It Means for You

Brahma Chellaney

Prasenjit K. Basu

Sunil Khilnami

India as a New Global Leader

The Forces Uprooting Us

Il XIX è stato il secolo europeo. Il XX il secolo americano. Il XXI sarà il secolo asiatico? L’Asia si sta affermando come un sistema multipolare che va dall’Arabia Saudita al Giappone, dalla Russia all’Australia, estendendosi ben oltre il cosiddetto Estremo Oriente. In questo contesto, la Belt and Road Initiative, il grande progetto volto al rafforzamento delle infrastrutture e della cooperazione tra i paesi dell’Eurasia, è il primo passo mosso dalla Cina nella creazione di una nuova Via della Seta. Tuttavia, pur vedendosi riconosciuto lo status di potenza globale, la Cina non detiene un ruolo egemonico all’interno del sistema asiatico. Non si tratta più infatti, sottolinea lo studioso di relazioni internazionali Parag Khanna, di sapere chi sia il numero uno a livello mondiale, ma di capire quali sono i pilastri del nuovo ordine globale e come si stanno ridefinendo i loro rapporti: da una parte, la Cina rappresenta il motore principale nel processo di formazione del megasistema asiatico; dall’altra, le strategie militari ed energetiche, così come il governo tecnocratico e il conservatorismo sociale di impronta asiatica stanno necessariamente riorientando gli Stati Uniti e l’Europa. Il secolo asiatico metterà in discussione l’ordine unipolare occidentale, produrrà una fase di transizione del potere, ma non avrà come inevitabile conseguenza uno scontro tra le maggiori potenze quali Stati Uniti e Cina. Ripercorrendo in una prospettiva asiatica la storia interna del megacontinente e il rapporto con l’Occidente, Khanna indaga il significato del fenomeno geopolitico e culturale chiamato “Asia”, fino ad affrontare il tema di un’ineludibile “asianizzazione del mondo”. Il futuro si prospetta dominato da una multipolarità globale, che non vedrà l’imporsi della Cina né il sostituirsi dell’Asia agli Stati Uniti e all’Europa. «Comprendere l’economia globale di questo secolo significa comprendere che sarà con ogni probabilità il secolo asiatico. L’importante libro di Parag Khanna fornisce una visione che va ben oltre le statistiche economiche. Chiunque sia interessato al futuro dell’economia globale dovrebbe tenere conto delle sue argomentazioni». Lawrence H. Summers, ex segretario del Tesoro e presidente emerito di Harvard «Khanna rende chiarissimo lo sbilanciamento globale verso l’Asia – ma provocatoriamente sostiene che l’ascesa della Cina avverrà all’interno di una regione multipolare». Graham Allison, professore all’Harvard Kennedy School, autore di Destinati alla guerra «In questo libro, così autorevole che presto potrebbe diventare un testo di riferimento, Parag Khanna intreccia diversi fili facendo emergere in maniera prodigiosa come l’Asia – più che la Cina – sia la stella polare, presente e futura, dell’economia globale». «Financial Times»

Il secolo asiatico?

In diesem Buch eröffnet uns Parag Khanna, indisch-amerikanischer Politikwissenschaftler und in Singapur lebender Vordenker, einen anderen, neuen Blick auf die Welt. Er bringt Geschichte, Politik und die natürlichen Lebensbedingungen des Menschen, die sich gerade rasant verändern, zusammen und leitet daraus Voraussagen für die Zukunft ab. Seine Grundthese: Die Menschheit wird sich in den nächsten Jahrzehnten neu auf der Erde verteilen (müssen). Gebiete, die bislang von der Natur bevorzugt wurden, drohen unbewohnbar zu werden; alte Industrieregionen, die Millionen von Menschen angezogen haben, werden veröden, neue Zentren entstehen. All dies wird nicht auf ein Land beschränkt sein, sondern zum weltweiten Phänomen. Die Gründe, die Khanna für riesige Migrationsströme über die Kontinente hinweg sieht, sind vielfältig: von demographischen Schieflagen und unterschiedlichen Modernisierungsgeschwindigkeiten über Klimaveränderungen bis zu sich neu verteilenden Arbeitsmöglichkeiten. Die Menschen werden, ob aus Zwang oder freiwillig, in kaum vorstellbarer Weise «on the move» sein. Faktenreich, mit anschaulichen Beispielen und überzeugendem Zahlenmaterial entwirft Khanna die «Zivilisation 3.0», in der Mobilität unser aller Schicksal, ja die Signatur der Zeit sein wird.

Parag Khanna

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