William T Ziemba

Rachel E S Ziemba

This book discusses many key topics in investment and risk management, the global economic situation and the shift in global investment strategies. It was largely written during the period of 2007-12, one of the most tumultuous times in global financial markets which called into question not only tenets of economic forecasting and also asset allocation and return strategies. It contains studies of how investors lose money in derivative markets, examples of those who did not and how these disasters could have been prevented. The authors draw some conclusions on the impact of the structural shifts currently underway in the global economy as well as how cyclical trends will affect these industries, the globe and key sectors. The authors zoom in on key growth areas, including emerging markets, their interlinkages and financial trends. The book also covers risk arbitrage and mean reversion strategies in financial and sports betting markets, plus incentives, volatility aspects, risk taking and investments strategies used by hedge funds and university endowments. Topics such as stock market crash predictions, asset liability planning models, various players in financial markets and the evaluation of the greatest investors are also discussed. The book presents tools and case studies of real applications for analyzing a wide variety of investment returns and better assessing the risks which many investors have preferred to ignore in the search of returns. Many security market regularities or anomalies are discussed including political party and January effects as is the process of building scenarios and using Kelly and fractional Kelly strategies to optimize returns. Contents:Key Concepts:Arbitrage, Risk Arbitrage and the Favorite-Longshot BiasThe Bond Stock Earnings Yield Differential ModelInvestor CampsHedge Funds, Sovereign Wealth Funds and Other Investment Agglomerations:Average Hedge Funds and Their EvaluationIncentives and Risk Taking in Hedge FundsEvaluating Superior Hedge FundsInvestment in Own-Company StockCutting Through the Hype on Sovereign Wealth FundsA New Age for LiquidityGovernment Owned Pensions: Asset Allocation and Governance IssuesUpdate on Yale's Approach to Endowment InvestingA Risk Arbitrage Convergence Trade: The Nikkei Put Warrant Market of 1989–90Kelly Capital Growth InvestingInnoALM, the Innovest Austrian Pension Fund Financial Planning ModelSeasonal Effects and Other Anomalies:Investing in the January Turn-of-the-Year Effect with Index FuturesThe January BarometerSell-in-May-and-Go-Away and the Effect of the Fed60–40 Pension Fund Mixes and Presidential Party EffectsVolatility, Correlation and Liquidity:Thoughts on the VIX Fear IndexChanging Correlations: Rising VIX and Violent Market MovesCan We Predict Stock Market Crashes?:Stock Market Crashes in 2006–2009: Were We Able to Predict Them?Three Mini Crashes in US and World Equity MarketsWhat Signals Worked and What Did Not, 1980–2009What Signals Worked and What Did Not, 1980–2009, Part IIWhat Signals Worked and What Did Not, 1980–2009, Part IIIHow to Lose Money in Derivatives and Examples of Those Who DidBubbles and Debt:Understanding the Financial Markets in the Subprime Era: The 2007/9 CrisisBubblesChina: Navigating the Olympic RisksTurkey's Juggling Act: Can It Live Up to Potential?Testing Resiliency: Protest and Natural DisastersIt's a Gas, Gas, Gas!Thoughts on the Current Market Environment, Risks and ReturnsWhat's Wrong with The US?Investing Around the WorldInvesting and Arbitrage in NFL Football and Horse Racing:Blunder or Correct Decision? The Belichick Decision to Go for It on 4th DownThe 2010 and 2011 Super Bowls and the Elo Ranking SystemRisk Arbitrage in the NFL 2012 Playoffs and the Super BowlThe One That Got Away: The Hitable $2 Million Pick 6 at the Breeders' CupTwo Super HorsesFarewell to the Queen and to the Princess of US Thoroughbred RacingThe Dr Z Place and Show Racetrack Betting Systems Past and Present Readership: Hedge fund managers, insurance managers, pension fund managers, mutual fund managers and other investment professionals and investors; students and researchers interested in risk management and investment management; investment strategies. Keywords:Hedge Funds;Sovereign Wealth Funds;Investment Agglomerations;Endowment Investing;Stock Market Crashes and Their Prediction;Global Economic Situation;Global Investment Strategies;Kelly and Fractional Kelly Wagering Strategies;Calendar Anomalies;Political Party;Time of Year EffectsKey Features:Contains case studies of great investment successes and blowouts to better assess explicit and implicit risks and mismatches in maturities and investment horizonDiscusses strategies used by the greatest investors to obtain their high returns and how these can be replicatedAnalyzes hedge fund concepts and performance including major fund disastersContains studies of pivotal economies that will shape the globe and investment prospects in years to comeReviews: "The prolific Ziembas have done it again! These days the markets may move like lightning but Rachel and Bill have no trouble keeping up. You don't need to look any further than this book for crucial information, insights and ideas." Paul Wilmott Mathematician and Author "Puzzled by today's markets and what to expect? Rachel and Bill Ziemba explain what has been happening and sharpen your thinking about future scenarios." Edward O Thorp Author of Beat the Dealer and Beat the Market

Rachel E S Ziemba

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