Stefan Mittnik

Ingo Klein

The field of econometrics has gone through remarkable changes during the last decades. The earlier focus on testing macroeconomic theories has been widened considerably. It has turned into a discipline concerned with the development and application of statistical methods for any kind of economic data. Contributions to Modern Econometrics represents a collection of recent economic applications of modern econometrics and methodological developments. It converse topics such as: -Effects of data quality on monetary policy, -Empirical comparison of alternative monetary aggregates, -Empirical tests of theories for the term structure of interest rates, -Financial econometrics for heavy-tailed returns, -The transformation of the Polish economy, -Labor economics, -Econometric modeling of household and investment decisions, -modeling with limited dependent variables, -testing for units roots, -Alternative smoothing algorithms, -Latent-variable models with error in variables. Contributions to Modern Econometrics is of interest to researchers and students in economics as well as practitioners in business, industry and public institutions who want to learn about recent developments in the field of econometrics.

From Data Analysis to Economic Policy

Contributions to Modern Econometrics

Willi Semmler

Alexander Haider

Recent research in financial economics has shown that rare large disasters have the potential to disrupt financial sectors via the destruction of capital stocks and jumps in risk premia. These disruptions often entail negative feedback e?ects on the macroecon-omy. Research on disaster risks has also actively been pursued in the macroeconomic models of climate change. Our paper uses insights from the former work to study disaster risks in the macroeconomics of climate change and to spell out policy needs. Empirically the link between carbon dioxide emission and the frequency of climate re-lated disaster is investigated using cross-sectional and panel data. The modeling part then uses a multi-phase dynamic macro model to explore this causal nexus and the e?ects of rare large disasters resulting in capital losses and rising risk premia. Our proposed multi-phase dynamic model, incorporating climate-related disaster shocks and their aftermath as one phase, is suitable for studying mitigation and adaptation policies.

Stefan Mittnik

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