What is the Alternative Hypothesis to Market Efficiency?
Audiobook
We may earn a commission. Learn more.
What is the Alternative Hypothesis to Market Efficiency?
In his Nobel speech, Eugene Fama claimed that critics have failed to offer a complete alternative to the efficient market hypothesis (EMH). More specifically, Fama stated, “Most important, the behavioral literature has not put forth a full blown model for prices and returns that can be tested and potentially rejected - the acid test for any model proposed as a replacement for another model.” Here I argue that Fama's complaint is too strong. The EMH can fail and there still be no model that meets Fama's criteria. This short paper explains why and offers a more reasonable alternative to the EMH based on the viewpoint that behavioral biases, though common, are state dependent.
Reviews
No reviews yet.
Be the first to write one.
Highlights
No highlights yet.
Be the first to share one.