Annie Duke

Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time: there's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there is always information that is hidden from view. Duke shows readers how to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? As a former World Series of Poker champion turned business consultant, she draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions.

Making Smarter Decisions when You Don't Have All the Facts

Thinking in Bets

Through a blend of compelling exercises, illustrations, and stories, the bestselling author of Thinking in Bets will train you to combat your own biases, address your weaknesses, and help you become a better and more confident decision-maker. What do you do when you're faced with a big decision? If you're like most people, you probably make a pro and con list, spend a lot of time obsessing about decisions that didn't work out, get caught in analysis paralysis, endlessly seek other people's opinions to find just that little bit of extra information that might make you sure, and finally go with your gut. What if there was a better way to make quality decisions so you can think clearly, feel more confident, second-guess yourself less, and ultimately be more decisive and be more productive? Making good decisions doesn't have to be a series of endless guesswork. Rather, it's a teachable skill that anyone can sharpen. In How to Decide, bestselling author Annie Duke and former professional poker player lays out a series of tools anyone can use to make better decisions. You'll learn: • To identify and dismantle hidden biases. • To extract the highest quality feedback from those whose advice you seek. • To more accurately identify the influence of luck in the outcome of your decisions. • When to decide fast, when to decide slow, and when to decide in advance. • To make decisions that more effectively help you to realize your goals and live your values. Through interactive exercises and engaging thought experiments, this book helps you analyze key decisions you've made in the past and troubleshoot those you're making in the future. Whether you're picking investments, evaluating a job offer, or trying to figure out your romantic life, How to Decide is the key to happier outcomes and fewer regrets.

Simple Tools for Making Better Choices

How to Decide

From the bestselling author of Thinking in Bets comes a toolkit for mastering the skill of quitting to achieve greater success Business leaders, with millions of dollars down the drain, struggle to abandon a new app or product that just isn’t working. Governments, caught in a hopeless conflict, believe that the next tactic will finally be the one that wins the war. And in our own lives, we persist in relationships or careers that no longer serve us. Why? According to Annie Duke, in the face of tough decisions, we’re terrible quitters. And that is significantly holding us back. In Quit, Duke teaches you how to get good at quitting. Drawing on stories from elite athletes like Mount Everest climbers, founders of leading companies like Stewart Butterfield, the CEO of Slack, and top entertainers like Dave Chappelle, Duke explains why quitting is integral to success, as well as strategies for determining when to hold em, and when to fold em, that will save you time, energy, and money. You’ll learn: • How the paradox of quitting influences decision making: If you quit on time, you will feel you quit early • What forces work against good quitting behavior, such as escalation commitment, desire for certainty, and status quo bias • How to think in expected value in order to make better decisions, as well as other best practices, such as increasing flexibility in goal-setting, establishing “quitting contracts,” anticipating optionality, and conducting premortems and backcasts Whether you’re facing a make-or-break business decision or life-altering personal choice, mastering the skill of quitting will help you make the best next move.

The Power of Knowing When to Walk Away

Quit

John Vorhaus

Poker is a game of table position, flop texture, players in a hand, personalities, and so much more. This book teaches you how to identify and analyze those variables, become a great strategist, and have confidence in any poker situation. Decide to Play Great Poker is written by Annie Duke, the world's most renowned woman poker player, with John Vorhaus, himself a winning poker player and prolific author.

A Strategy Guide to No-Limit Texas Hold 'Em

Decide to Play Great Poker

"Dalam berbagai situasi, kita sering kali dihadapkan dengan pilihan sulit: bertahan, berubah arah, atau bahkan berhenti (quit). Nyatanya, walau banyak pertanda tak ada guna untuk tetap bertahan, berhenti identik dengan kata gagal, sehingga tak pernah jadi pilihan. Annie Duke menawarkan strategi berbasis sains yang dapat mengasah keterampilan untuk mengetahui kapan kita harus memilih berhenti dan bagaimana cara melakukannya. Saat Anda sedang menghadapi permasalahan bisnis, karier, atau bahkan hubungan pribadi, piawai dalam memilih mana hal yang harus dipertahankan atau tidak dapat membantu Anda untuk menentukan langkah terbaik berikutnya. Hidup ini singkat. Tak sepatutnya kita membuang waktu, energi, atau uang karena terus mempertahankan keputusan yang salah."

결정, 흔들리지 않고 마음 먹은 대로

Discover when to grit, and when to quit We are often told that the secret to success is hard work, determination, and hours of practice. But in a fast-changing world, what if the really crucial skill is knowing when to stick at something and when to change track and walk away? Quit makes the under-appreciated case for quitting and also shows you how to get really good at it. Drawing on stories from elite athletes to Everest climbers, comedians to musicians, Annie Duke (who left a successful poker career) explains why learning to quit well is often crucial to success. She provides clear strategies for working out when to cut your losses from a business product that isn't working, a relationship turned toxic, or a career that won't take you where you want to go. You'll learn how to spot the blocks to good quitting behaviour -- escalation commitment, desire for certainty and the status quo bias -- and also how to use tools like quitting contracts, flexible goal-setting and premortems to help you quit cleanly and confidently. Whether you're facing a make-or-break business decision, a life-altering personal choice or simply wanting to take more control of your life, Quit provides a toolkit for change to help you make the best next move.

Mastering the Most Difficult Hands in Hold'em Poker : a Poker Single

The Middle Zone

David Diamond

A top-ranked woman poker player presents an insider's view of the World Series of Poker, in a personal account that describes her academic achievements, impulsive entry into the world of gambling, and insights into strategic tournament play. 150,000 first printing.

How I Raised, Folded, Bluffed, Flirted, Cursed, and Won Millions at the World Series of Poker

Manager d’azienda, con milioni di investimenti in fumo, lottano per abbandonare una nuova applicazione o un nuovo prodotto che non funziona. Governi impantanati in un conflitto senza speranza credono che la prossima tattica sarà finalmente quella che permetterà di vincere la guerra. E poi noi, che nella nostra vita persistiamo in relazioni o carriere che non ci servono più. Perché? Secondo Annie Duke, di fronte a decisioni difficili siamo dei terribili rinunciatari. Lascia perdere ci insegna come diventare bravi a mollare il colpo. Prendendo spunto dalle storie di atleti eccezionali come gli scalatori dell’Everest, di fondatori di imprese leader come Stewart Butterfield, il CEO di Slack, e di grandi personaggi dello spettacolo come Dave Chappelle, ci spiega perché desistere è parte integrante del successo, nonché le strategie per determinare quando perseverare e quando rinunciare, facendoci risparmiare tempo, energia e denaro. Leggendolo imparerete: - come il paradosso della rinuncia influenza il processo decisionale: se si smette in tempo, si ha la sensazione di aver smesso troppo presto; - quali sono le forze che ci impediscono di lasciar perdere, come l’intensificazione dell’impegno, il desiderio di certezze e il pregiudizio dello status quo; - come ragionare in termini di valore atteso per prendere decisioni migliori e altre best practice, quali aumentare la flessibilità nella definizione degli obiettivi, stabilire contratti di pre-impegno, fissare in anticipo dei criteri di abbandono, immaginare la possibilità di un fallimento, condurre valutazioni retrospettive. Che siate di fronte a una decisione di lavoro o a una scelta personale che potrebbe cambiare la vostra vita, padroneggiare l’abilità di lasciar perdere vi aiuterà a decidere al meglio la prossima mossa.

L'importanza di capire quando è meglio abbandonare le proprie posizioni

Lascia perdere

Achieve More by Letting Go

Part poker strategy, part autobiography, this is a fascinating, table-side view of the World Series of Poker from the top-ranked female player on the circuit. It chronicles the exciting ups and downs Duke experiences while trying to win it all, and tells the riveting tale of her unlikely rise to poker's inner circle. Highlighting the strategy behind her unique style of play, and including a comprehensive poker primer, this title is geared towards both the skilled player and the reader newly intrigued by the hottest, fastest growing game on the planet.

How I Raised, Folded, Bluffed, Flirted, Cursed, and Won Millions-And You Can Too

Nel 49° Super Bowl, l’allenatore dei Seahawks, Pete Carroll, fece una delle chiamate più controverse nella storia del football: con 26 secondi dalla fine della partita e a poche yard dalla linea di meta dei Patriots, chiese alla sua squadra di eseguire uno schema di lancio invece di un meno rischioso schema di corsa. Il passaggio venne intercettato e i Seahawks vennero sconfitti. I critici la definirono la più stupida giocata della storia. Ma quella chiamata fu davvero così brutta? Oppure Carroll disegnò un grande schema rovinato solo dalla sfortuna? Anche la decisione migliore non produce sempre il miglior risultato. C’è sempre un elemento di fortuna che non puoi controllare, e ci sono sempre informazioni importanti di cui non disponiamo. Quindi la chiave del successo è quella di pensare alle decisioni come fossero delle scommesse: quanto ne sono sicuro? Quali sono i modi possibili in cui le cose potrebbero andare? Quale decisione ha le più alte probabilità di successo? Sono incappato in quel 10% di probabilità che le cose potessero andare male? Oppure il mio successo è più attribuibile alla fortuna piuttosto che al merito del mio processo decisionale? Annie Duke, ex campionessa della World Series of Poker, è diventata una nota consulente aziendale attingendo dalla sua esperienza di giocatrice di poker. Nei suoi seminari insegna a prendere decisioni migliori. Per la maggior parte delle persone infatti è difficile dire “Non sono sicuro” in un mondo che apprezza e, addirittura, ricompensa l’aspetto della certezza. Ma i giocatori professionisti di poker si sentono a loro agio con il fatto che le grandi decisioni non portano sempre a grandi esiti e che le decisioni sbagliate non portano sempre a risultati negativi. Spostando il tuo pensiero dall’esigenza di certezza all’obiettivo di valutare accuratamente ciò che sai e ciò che non sai, sarai meno vulnerabile alle emozioni reattive, ai pregiudizi e alle abitudini distruttive nel prendere decisioni. Diventerai più sicuro, calmo, tollerante e avrai più successo nel lungo periodo.

Prendere decisioni intelligenti quando non hai tutte le informazioni

Decidere è una scommessa

Josh Doody

Vanessa Rousso

A complete hand-by-hand analysis of heads-up championship play against the best players in the world shows how to beat opponents at heads-up poker You’ll learn how two of the best heads-up tournament players think through every decision in more than 600 hands as they battle their way to the final round in the prestigious NBC Heads-Up Championship. You’ll see their cards and hear their thoughts through twelve matches as they devise masterful strategies to defeat world-class opponents. Annie Duke and Vanessa Rousso give you a powerful mix of the practice, theory, and strategies for heads-up tournaments—where you must risk chips on every hand you’re dealt—and show you what they did to beat the best players in the world. You’ll see what works and what doesn’t as amazing bluffs and poorly executed tactics are deconstructed. You’ll learn how to design a game plan for each opponent, how to adjust your plan as the match progresses, how to play against pros and amateurs alike, and how to get the best of it against superior opponents. Their detailed analysis of when to change your strategy due to fluctuating chip counts, the flow of the match, and dynamic maneuvers make this book the bible of heads-up play.

Annie Duke

About

Books

Join the club